Modelo de escenario para la transición óptima hacia tecnologías de fusión nuclear “iter tokamak” en el contexto ecuatoriano basado en lógica difusa

Abstract

This publication presents an innovative approach for the transition towards nuclear fusion technologies in Ecuador, using fuzzy logic. The study focuses on the "ITER Tokamak" project, which has aroused great interest in the nation. This strategic model uses fuzzy logic and scenario theory to provide a comprehensive roadmap that considers a variety of technical, social, regulatory, and economic factors. In this context, the use of fuzzy logic makes it possible to address the uncertainty and ambiguity that accompany the transition processes towards emerging technologies. Fuzzy logic allows capturing the complexity of the transition to nuclear fusion by considering several variables and factors such as population growth, growth in electricity consumption or economic factors. In addition, it provides a flexible framework for evaluating a variety of strategies and implementation options. In addition to its applicability in the Ecuadorian context, the approach based on fuzzy logic can be extrapolated to other countries and contexts interested in the implementation of nuclear fusion technologies. The challenges and opportunities associated with the adoption of this clean and sustainable energy source can be more accurately and effectively addressed through the use of fuzzy logic.