Estimación de la demanda eléctrica en usuarios de baja tensión utilizando el método de regresión

Abstract

The main focus of the project is directed toward the estimation of electrical demand in residential homes, using a proposed regression method. This choice is based on the fact that, in Ecuador, the current method of electrical estimation presents certain limitations. These limitations are evident because the original study was carried out using data from residential users in the southwestern United States, which introduces variations in terms of climatic conditions, energy culture, and electricity consumption patterns between both contexts. The data used in this investigation were supplied by CNEL Guayas-Los Ríos of the Durán system, in the Castilla urbanization. These data were collected by a contractor company in compliance with the regulations established by the Agency for the Regulation and Control of Energy and Non-Renewable Resources (ARCERNNR). This collection activity is carried out randomly every year. The data was acquired through the Fluke 1744 tool, which specialized in power quality. These data were downloaded in the PQ log file format, which was later converted to Excel xls format.