Determinación de los segmentos de mercado para la inversión en proyectos de generación distribuida y autoabastecimiento bajo el marco normativo ARCERNNR 013/2021

Abstract

In the near future, distributed generation and self-supply projects will proliferate in Ecuador, which will be subject to the ARCERNNR 013/2021 regulatory framework. This article proposes to carry out a sensitivity analysis in the economic evaluation for a possible investment in photovoltaic solar distributed generation by regulated consumers and interested construction companies. Based on the foregoing, a market segmentation is established that allows assessing a safe investment in this type of project under the current regulatory framework. For this purpose, variables such as: the evolution of the electricity tariff, the consumption scheme, the unit cost, the investment rate, the sale of surpluses and the economic savings expected in the short and medium term will be analyzed. Finally, the profitability will be determined with the tools that allow to determine the viability of a project net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and the investment recovery period (PRI).