Modelo de regresión media condicional para evaluación del tiempo de recuperación de la energía y costo de producción en proyectos de generación eléctrica

Abstract

This paper models a renewable electricity generation plant with different technologies of solar panels, monocrystalline and polycrystalline, and estimates the energy recovery time (EPBT) of each of these, in addition, the production costs and the amortization of these costs are calculated using French and German amortization tables. The methodology used applies a conditional mean regression model and can be replicated for any type of system. In this document, 20 sites in Ecuador have been taken as an example, 10 correspond to the highland’s region and 10 to the coast. Each of the results will be compared to determine the advantages and disadvantages of each of the technologies, in terms of EPBT and costs.