Estimación de costos de la energía eléctrica no utilizada en micro-redes mediante métodos estocásticos basado en árboles de decisión

Abstract

Population growth and industrial development have forced an increase in energy demand, forcing energygenerating enterprises to increase their very expensive energy production infrastructure, Therefore, it seeks to implement policies to meet demand, including distributed generation (GD). In this way, a more efficient energy consumption is achieved, because the load that does not represent the maximum energy consumption time can be transferred to other periods of time. In addition, an energy management system (GE) can be implemented, that is, the strategy of formulating an optimal energy consumption plan and applying it to the entire industry or to the entire electrical system will help the company to improve its competitiveness because it has more efficiency. This document proposes to estimate the costs of energy not used in a micro-grid order to assess the behaviour of demand in the micro-grid, to estimate the associated costs of unused energy and finally to implement prices through stochastic processes users of the micro-network and sale of energy