Cálculo de las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero para movilidad sostenible en el cantón Francisco de Orellana, 2022

Abstract

The objective of this work is to estimate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the transportation sector in Canton Francisco de Orellana, using the MobiliseYourCity (MYC) emissions calculator. The methodology used consisted of four stages: data collection, data processing, simulation of business as usual (BAU) and climate scenarios, and comparison of results. The BAU scenario estimates GHG emissions assuming that no measures are implemented to reduce emissions from passenger and freight transportation. On the other hand, the climate scenario estimates GHG emissions considering the effect of emission reduction strategies according to the avoid, change, improve approach. Regarding the simulation of the climate scenario, two perspectives were considered: ambitious and moderate. In the ambitious perspective, survey data collected were used, reflecting a significant reduction in GHG emissions due to the willingness of citizens to change their mobility habits, especially if public transportation is improved and safety is increased. On the other hand, the moderate perspective took into account a simulation that is more in line with the current reality. The results of the analysis revealed that the highest emissions are related to the use of fossil fuels. In the BAU scenario projected for the year 2025, an emission of 45.4 thousand tons of CO2e was recorded, with route-car and route-truck/bus vehicles being the main generators of emissions. For the Ambitious proposal of the climate scenario for 2025, values of 8.7 thousand tons of CO2e were obtained, and for the Moderate proposal, values of 21.3 thousand tons of CO2e were obtained. The findings obtained in this project highlight the importance of implementing sustainable transportation policies and programs. In conclusion, this study contributes to the knowledge on GHG emissions in the transportation sector and provides relevant information that can guide strategic decision making to promote more sustainable mobility in Canton Francisco de Orellana.