Evaluación de fuentes de consumo energético y eficiencia en la industria nacional y análisis comparativo de pronósticos en el periodo 2012 – 2022

Abstract

The study focused on evaluating the sources of energy consumption and efficiency in the national industries, also performing a comparative analysis of the forecasts made during the period from 2012 to 2022. The methodology applied included the collection and analysis of historical data on energy consumption in the industrial sector, as well as the evaluation of the ARIMA forecasting models used in the study process. The results of the study showed that during the period from 2012 to 2022, the national industry has experienced significant changes in energy consumption levels. Opportunities for energy efficiency improvements were identified through the implementation of more efficient mathematical models and the optimization of production processes. In addition, the comparative analysis of the forecasts found a discrepancy between the projections made and the actual values observed, which highlights the importance of improving the accuracy of the mathematical prediction model used in the study. In conclusion, the study provided valuable information for decision making in terms of policies, economics and efficiency strategies in the national industry. The findings obtained will serve as a basis for implementing measures to optimize energy consumption and improve the competitiveness of the industrial sector in the country.